Fluctuating Warm-Cool Temperatures Indicate Normal - Slightly Below Temperatures; While Normal To Drier Than Average Weather Dominates Summer Analogues

Notes for Neutral - El Nino Summer of '23

Prevailing analogues indicate normal temperatures (within a degree of normal in Southeast Lower Michigan), while 4 summers averaged below normal (more than a degree below) and 2 summers averaging above normal (more than a degree above normal. 

Upper wind flow/jets were dominated by ridging across the Midwest northward into Canada, shifting across the country from the Great Lakes to the Western US/Canada with the dominance from Mid-West northward into Canada west into the Western US.

Drier than normal (more than an inch below) prevailed in 7 summers out of 11. Average departure was nearly two inches below normal with the entire sample of 11. Normal rainfall fell in 4 summers and just 1 summer received above normal rain (more than an inch above). All summer months (June - Aug) showed averages of rainfall, 1/2 to an inch below. 

SUMMER 2023 ANALOGUES
DETROIT	JUN	JUL	AUG	SUM AVE	SUMMERS
	T	E	M	P	S
1894	70.7	73.9	69.4	71.0	1
1899	68.7	71.5	72.2	70.8	2
1911	69.5	73.6	70.7	71.3	3
1918	66.6	71.1	74.8	70.8	4
1951	67.8	72.7	69.5	70.0	1
1976	70.6	72.7	70.7	71.3	5
1985	62.8	71.3	69.2	67.8	2
2000	69.4	70.3	70.8	70.2	3
2001	69.5	73.5	74.1	72.3	6
2006	69.3	76.1	72.9	72.8	1
2009	67.8	68.9	71.2	69.3	4
2012	72.3	79.0	73.0	74.8	2
Ave	68.8	72.9	71.5	71.1
Norm	69.4	73.6	72.0	71.7
Dep	-0.6	-0.7	-0.5	-0.6
DETROIT	JUN	JUL	AUG	SUM TOT	SUMMERS
	P	C	P	N
1894	2.63	2.62	0.16	5.41	1
1899	1.82	2.95	0.62	5.39	2
1911	1.48	0.79	1.31	3.58	3
1918	3.30	0.74	1.29	5.33	4
1951	3.13	4.10	2.99	10.22	1
1976	3.26	1.47	1.68	6.41	5
1985	1.62	3.96	4.88	10.46	2
2000	4.90	5.40	4.63	14.93	1
2001	3.40	1.16	2.87	7.43	6
2006	3.95	4.38	2.05	10.38	3
2009	5.27	2.56	2.76	10.59	4
2012	1.31	3.67	2.25	7.23	7
Ave	3.00	2.82	2.29	8.11
Norm	3.52	3.37	3.00	9.89
Dep	-0.52	-0.55	-0.71	-1.78
Color	Temps	Degrees	Rain	Inches
Legend:	Below	1.0>	Below	1.00>
	Normal	0.0-1.0	Normal	0.00-1.00
	Above	1.0>	Above	1.00>							Notes