Mom Nature gives and takes away - and that's certainly the case this past fall (and year). In recent years; the abundance of precipitation at least partially, resulted in the Great Lake flooding levels. On that note; Great Lake and adjoining rivers levels have notably receded in the last year or two. See an update on the Lake Levels, October 2022. The drop in precipitation so far this year is the most seen in several years in metro Detroit. Last time we were significantly below normal was in 2012 for Detroit with 27.12" (still not even close to this year's thus far; 21.97") and Flint at 22.61" a ways from 2010 /25.57"/ thus far. Saginaw just over 2010 /25.57"/ with current total /25.97"/. The last time Detroit's precipitation was this low was 20 years ago in 2002 /22.14"/. Again note; these are all entire year's totals and all should be over current annual totals. Finally; little change has been noted the first few days of December.
LATEST COMPUTER GUIDANCE ON WINTER 2022-23
CFSv2
FOREIGN MODELS
EUROPEAN /ECMWF/
BRITISH MET /UK/
MULTI MODELS (BRITISH MET /UK/, EUROPEAN /ECMWF/, DWD - GERMAN, METRO FRANCE, ITALY, NCEP, JMA - JAPAN)
CHINA
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learn,
Bill Deedler
- SEMI_WeatherHistorian
