All weather facets that I spoke about in my last blog, seem to be coming to fruition on this morning's Sunday 1/27/19 GFS Model. All models are in fair to good agreement on the Clipper heading southeast then east across the Southern Lakes/Southern Lower Michigan region.
Just a quick update on maps. After basically, 4-6" of snow across Metro Detroit, more to the north and less to the south, brutal cold surges into Upper Midwest, Great lakes and Northern Ohio Valley through mid-week. There could be a bit of freezing drizzle/drizzle in the extreme Southeast Lower Michigan's corner after the snow. This really depends on how far north the milder air pushes into that area later Monday.
Record lows and record low maxes could both be taken out, depending on location in Southeast Lower Michigan. Detroit's records look vulnerable because, basically they aren't that low.
JAN - DTW - Rec lows/Rec Low Maxes in blue
| 29 | 32 | 19 | 26.0 | 58/1914 | 7/1977 | 41/2006 | -7/1885 | 48/2006 | 2/1977 | 0.84/1969 | 29 |
| 30 | 32 | 19 | 26.0 | 62/2013 | 7/1951 | 41/1988 | -4/1951 | 48/2013 | 2/1951 | 1.15/1916 | 30 |
| 31 | 32 | 19 | 26.0 | 60/1989 | 7/1920 | 48/1988 | -7/1920 | 51/1988 | 0/1920 | 1.48/1878 | 31 |
FEB - DTW - Rec lows/Rec Low Maxes in blue
| 1 | 33 | 19 | 26.0 | 54/1933 | 4/1898 | 40/2012 | -7/1971 | 45/2012 | 0/1898 | 1.11/1968 | 1 |
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 26.0 | 52/1983 | 3/1881 | 36/2006 | -12/1976 | 44/1973 | -1/1881 | 0.49/1990 | 2 |
| 3 | 33 | 19 | 26.0 | 56/2016 | 8/1996 | 36/2016 | -15/1985 | 46/2016 | 1/1996 | 1.12/1883 | 3 |
______________________________________________________________________
JAN - FNT - Rec lows/Rec Low Maxes in blue
| 29 | 30 | 15 | 22.0 | 58/2013 | 6/1965 | 43/2008 | -11/1966 | 47/2008 | 0/1966 | 1.32/1947 | 29 |
| 30 | 30 | 15 | 22.0 | 58/2013 | 8/1951 | 43/1988 | -16/1951 | 47/1988 | -4/1951 | 0.98/1947 | 30 |
| 31 | 30 | 15 | 22.0 | 59/1989 | 6/1971 | 41/2012 | -8/1963 | 48/2012 | 2/1971 | 1.03/1942 | 31 |
FEB - FNT -Rec lows/Rec Low Maxes in blue
| 1 | 30 | 15 | 22.0 | 52/2012 | 7/1971 | 37/1968 | -18/1959 | 44/2012 | -4/1959 | 1.31/1968 | 1 |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 23.0 | 53/1973 | 4/1996 | 35/1973 | -22/1959 | 44/1973 | -2/1959 | 0.69/2011 | 2 |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 23.0 | 55/2016 | 4/1996 | 36/2016 | -11/1996 | 46/2016 | -3/1996 | 0.41/2003 | 3 |
______________________________________________________________________
JAN - MBS -Rec lows/Rec Low Maxes in blue
| 29 | 29 | 15 | 22.0 | 56/2013 | 6/1965 | 39/2008 | -8/1966 | 45/2013 | -1/1965 | 0.99/2013 | 29 |
| 30 | 29 | 15 | 22.0 | 55/2013 | 8/1951 | 41/1988 | -17/1951 | 46/1988 | -5/1951 | 0.74/1947 | 30 |
| 31 | 29 | 15 | 22.0 | 55/1989 | 5/1920 | 36/1988 | -15/1994 | 45/1989 | -3/1918 | 1.56/1914 | 31 |
FEB - FNT - Rec lows/Rec Low Maxes in blue
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 22.0 | 50/1933 | 5/1918 | 37/1968 | -16/1918 | 41/1933 | -6/1918 | 0.79/1968 | 1 |
| 2 | 29 | 15 | 22.0 | 46/1920 | 2/1996 | 32/2006 | -15/1976 | 37/1973 | -5/1996 | 0.75/2011 | 2 |
| 3 | 29 | 16 | 22.0 | 50/1991 | 4/1996 | 33/2016 | -14/1996 | 42/1991 | -5/1996 | 0.38/1924 | 3 |
Making weather fun while we all learn,
Bill Deedler - SEMI_WeatherHistorian
