Snowfall Totals from January 4th-5th, 2014
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...STORM TOTALS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1056 AM EST MON JAN 6 2014 STORM TOTAL SNOW REPORTS LOCATION SNOWFALL DURATION (INCHES) (HOURS) LAT LON ...BAY COUNTY... PINCONNING M 5.0 30 43.86N 83.96W NE BAY CITY M 7.0 30 43.59N 83.89W ...GENESEE COUNTY... GOODRICH M 11.8 30 42.92N 83.51W 4 N BURTON M 13.2 30 43.05N 83.62W 1 SE GRAND BLANC M 13.9 30 42.92N 83.60W FLUSHING M 14.5 30 43.06N 83.84W LINDEN M 16.0 30 42.82N 83.78W FLINT M 17.1 30 43.02N 83.69W 2 W SWARTZ CREEK M 18.0 30 42.96N 83.87W ...HURON COUNTY... PORT AUSTIN M 5.0 30 44.04N 83.00W BAD AXE M 5.2 30 43.80N 83.00W GRINDSTONE CITY M 7.5 30 44.05N 82.90W PORT HOPE M 13.4 30 43.94N 82.72W ...LAPEER COUNTY... 4 W LAPEER M 16.5 30 43.05N 83.40W NORTH BRANCH M 17.0 30 43.23N 83.19W ...LENAWEE COUNTY... 6 ENE ADRIAN M 8.0 30 41.93N 83.94W ADRIAN M 8.0 12 41.90N 84.04W 2 WNW TIPTON M 8.9 30 42.03N 84.10W MORENCI M 12.0 30 41.72N 84.22W ...LIVINGSTON COUNTY... 3 NW PINCKNEY M 11.7 30 42.49N 83.99W WHITMORE LAKE M 13.0 30 42.43N 83.75W HOWELL M 14.0 30 42.61N 83.94W HOWELL M 15.9 30 42.61N 83.94W 2 W FOWLERVILLE M 17.5 30 42.66N 84.11W ...MACOMB COUNTY... MOUNT CLEMENS M 6.5 24 42.60N 82.88W CENTER LINE M 7.5 30 42.48N 83.03W 4 NNW RICHMOND M 8.5 30 42.86N 82.78W SSE NEW BALTIMORE M 9.8 30 42.68N 82.74W UTICA M 10.0 30 42.63N 83.02W 1 NNW UTICA M 10.5 30 42.64N 83.03W SHELBY TOWNSHIP M 11.0 30 42.67N 83.03W ...MIDLAND COUNTY... 2 ENE MIDLAND M 5.2 30 43.63N 84.19W MIDLAND M 6.0 30 43.62N 84.23W ...MONROE COUNTY... 3 SE NEWPORT M 8.6 30 41.97N 83.27W MONROE M 8.9 30 41.92N 83.39W 4 SSE NEWPORT M 9.6 30 41.95N 83.28W MONROE M 9.8 30 41.92N 83.39W DUNDEE M 10.0 30 41.96N 83.66W TEMPERANCE M 11.0 M 41.77N 83.57W CARLETON M 13.0 30 42.06N 83.39W ...OAKLAND COUNTY... FARMINGTON M 6.7 30 42.46N 83.38W 2 N FERNDALE M 7.1 30 42.49N 83.13W FARMINGTON HILLS M 8.1 30 42.49N 83.38W 3 SW BLOOMFIELD HILLS M 8.5 30 42.55N 83.29W PONTIAC M 9.1 30 42.65N 83.29W E WHITE LAKE M 9.9 30 42.65N 83.50W 5 N ROCHESTER M 11.1 30 42.76N 83.12W CLARKSTON M 12.0 30 42.74N 83.42W 4 SSE LAKE ORION M 12.9 30 42.73N 83.21W FARMINGTON HILLS M 13.2 30 42.49N 83.38W WATERFORD M 14.5 30 42.66N 83.39W 4 E WHITE LAKE M 14.6 30 42.65N 83.43W CLARKSTON M 15.3 30 42.74N 83.42W ...SAGINAW COUNTY... 5 S MERRILL M 6.8 30 43.34N 84.34W FREELAND M 8.3 30 43.52N 84.12W 3 NW SAGINAW M 8.4 30 43.45N 83.99W 2 E FREELAND M 8.8 30 43.52N 84.08W BRIDGEPORT M 9.3 30 43.38N 83.88W HEMLOCK M 10.5 30 43.42N 84.23W 3 ESE BIRCH RUN M 11.0 24 43.23N 83.74W ...SANILAC COUNTY... LEXINGTON M 9.7 30 43.27N 82.53W SANDUSKY M 13.0 30 43.42N 82.83W 2 W PECK M 16.0 30 43.26N 82.86W ...SHIAWASSEE COUNTY... CORUNNA M 16.4 30 42.98N 84.12W OWOSSO M 18.7 30 43.00N 84.18W ...ST. CLAIR COUNTY... 2 W PORT HURON M 10.6 30 42.99N 82.47W ALGONAC M 10.6 30 42.62N 82.53W GOODELLS M 11.0 30 42.98N 82.68W FORT GRATIOT M 13.0 M 43.01N 82.43W ...TUSCOLA COUNTY... CARO M 9.9 30 43.49N 83.40W 3 E DEFORD M 14.0 30 43.52N 83.13W MILLINGTON M 16.0 30 43.28N 83.53W ...WASHTENAW COUNTY... MILAN M 8.0 30 42.09N 83.68W CHELSEA M 9.5 30 42.31N 84.02W 2 WNW ANN ARBOR M 10.0 30 42.29N 83.77W SALINE M 10.2 30 42.18N 83.78W SE ANN ARBOR M 10.3 30 42.28N 83.73W ANN ARBOR M 10.4 30 42.28N 83.73W DEXTER M 11.7 30 42.33N 83.88W ENE DEXTER M 12.0 30 42.33N 83.88W CHELSEA M 14.0 30 42.31N 84.02W ...WAYNE COUNTY... GROSSE POINTE M 7.6 30 42.39N 82.91W 4 NE DEARBORN M 7.8 30 42.35N 83.16W LIVONIA M 8.0 30 42.40N 83.37W 2 NNW LIVONIA M 8.4 30 42.42N 83.39W N LIVONIA M 8.4 30 42.40N 83.37W GARDEN CITY M 9.4 M 42.33N 83.33W BROWNSTOWN TOWNSHIP M 9.5 30 42.15N 83.26W WYANDOTTE M 9.9 30 42.21N 83.16W RIVERVIEW M 10.5 30 42.17N 83.19W ROMULUS M 10.6 30 42.22N 83.37W M = MEASURED E = ESTIMATED_____________________________________________________________________________________________
Update 1/5/2014 - 1230 PM
Major Winter Storm and Associated Arctic Blast on Schedule!
Little change in previous thoughts on this major winter storm (see previous blogs). One earlier statement remains especially valid "I expect the storm to be one of the more memorable ones (if not most) this winter because of the combination of snow and bitter cold strong winds on the backside."
No change in basic snowfall amounts"(8"- 12" and locally higher)" with the locally higher part not locally but more areas of 12" - 16" due to the heavier snow band that fell overnight due to overrunning moisture that generated the snow. Totals of 3" to as much as 7"snow fell mainly over central and portions of northern Southeast Lower Michigan; mainly from the 696/I-96 corridor northward across the Saginaw Valley and portions of the Thumb.
Strong Arctic winds feeding the system will commence overnight Sunday and be in full force Monday. Considerable blowing and drifting snow will cause near blizzard or blizzard conditions at times on Monday. Temperatures will plunge down to between -10 to + 5 by Monday afternoon with wind chills of -20 to as low as near -40!
Update 1/4/2014 - 1230PM; Latest model reviews and Storm Outlook
Dangerous Bitter Cold Storm to Impact Southeast Lower Michigan Sunday Into Monday!
Models continue to vary a bit but general consensus is for a major storm across the areas mentioned in last blog below.
Set up continues to be quite interesting as far as how much phasing will come together over the eastern Great Lakes. This mornings US guidance now shows the NAM deepening her a bit more as she naturally veers the track to the northwest to compensate for the intensification. This is roughly between yesterday afternoon's UK /British model fig 2/ and this morning's GFS. It's interesting to note the latest British model /00z-UK/ veered her track back east toward Eastern Ohio/West Pennsylvania - got to love these models! Overnight's /00z/ European is pretty much siding with her sister /UK/ and moving the low center over Eastern Ohio/West Penn.
I like a track closer to NAM given the strong dynamics that will feed the storm BUT the question is (and like mentioned yesterday), when? Looking at data now available, I prefer a track/pressure between the NAM (fig -1) and 00z Euro/UK until she rides just northeast of Southeast Lower Michigan in Ontario where she'll rev-up quicker. This would take the center between Sandusky Ohio and Cleveland over Lake Erie to west of Toronto (or the ending of track 3 on my Winter Outlook, over the Eastern Great lakes fig -2).
FIG - 1
FIG - 2
-Latest Canadian just in sides closer to NAM with center over northwest Ohio Sunday night.
Stay Tuned for further updates 'cause it's gonna be a bumpy ride the beginning to the first week of the new year!
Bill Deedler -SEMI_WeatherHistorian
As mentioned in my last blog; it's been a while since Southeast Lower Michigan has seen such bitter cold temperatures that we actually felt initially this morning (when widespread below zero readings were attained) and are slated to arrive again on strong blustery winds behind an intensifying snowstorm on overnight Sunday into Monday.
All latest meteorological guidance continues to slam the Great Lakes, Upper Midwest and Ohio Valley Into Canada with a dangerous storm center as far as snow and especially bitter cold air in it's wake. At this early juncture; I expect the storm to be one of the more memorable ones (if not most) this winter because of the combination of snow and bitter cold strong winds on the backside. Worst of the winter weather should be Sunday night into Monday. More at question now is not the bitter cold but as usual; the snow amounts. On the lower side; generally 3 - 7" is possible across all of Southeast Lower Michigan with the heavier amounts over the far southeast corner. On the higher side; generally 6 - 12" could fall (again highest Southeast corner) with a classic heavy snow track (like intimated by some of the models).
This storm is actually the product of two systems; a low pressure system deepening as it moves from the Texas/Arkansas area - a Texas Hooker - and a Arctic blast of some of the coldest air and wind chills of several winter seasons, out over south-central Canada. The Texas Hooker is projected to track northeast through the Ohio Valley and intensify as it advances into Southern Ontario on Monday as the coldest of Arctic air surges into the system.
If this storm continues to phase more like is projected then near blizzard or blizzard conditions are a risk on Monday over the region. If phasing develops further northeast into Ontario Canada; then the very worst of the storm will be northeast. Even if this does happen (a lower probability as of this writing Friday afternoon) dangerously bitter cold wind chills will certainly blast the region on Monday along with considerable blowing and drifting snow! Lowest wind chill values of -20 to even down to near -40 are possible behind this storm!
Updates to follow....
Bill Deedler -SEMI_WeatherHistorian